Projected Final Standings

With the NCAA Tournament looming just around the corner, the bubble is the main topic on everyone's minds. People are coming up with scenarios for various teams on the fence to see if they would make the Tournament with a certain finish. For instance, several experts say things like "Well, if so and so finishes 2-1 down the stretch and wins a game in their conference tournament, they should be in." I began thinking about that, and decided to project the final records of every major conference team and every team with a shot at the NCAA Tournament as an at-large team. The records also include how I think they will do in their respective conference tournaments. Without further ado, here is how I think every team will finish the season heading into the Selection Show on March 12th:

Projections made prior to games played on Wednesday, February 22nd.

Italics identify projected conference tournament winner

ACC
1. Duke: 32-1 (16-0)
2. North Carolina State: 26-6 (13-3)
3. Boston College: 23-8 (10-6)
4. North Carolina: 20-9 (10-6)
5. Florida State: 20-9 (9-7)
6. Virginia: 16-12 (8-8)
7. Maryland: 17-13 (7-9)
8. Miami (Fl.): 16-15 (7-9)
9. Clemson: 16-13 (6-10)
10. Virginia Tech: 14-16 (4-12)
11. Georgia Tech: 12-17 (4-12)
12. Wake Forest: 14-17 (2-14)

Big East
1. Connecticut: 30-2 (14-2)
2. Villanova: 25-5 (13-3)
3. West Virginia: 20-10 (11-5)
4. Pittsburgh: 23-6 (11-5)
5. Georgetown: 21-8 (11-5)
6. Marquette: 20-10 (10-6)
7. Syracuse: 21-10 (9-7)
8. Cincinnati: 19-10 (9-7)
9. Seton Hall: 17-12 (8-8)
10. Notre Dame: 17-12 (7-9)
11. St. John's: 13-15 (6-10)
12. Rutgers: 15-14 (6-10)
13. Louisville: 17-12 (5-11)
14. Providence: 12-15 (5-11)
15. DePaul: 10-17 (3-13)
16. South Florida: 6-23 (0-16)

Big Ten
1. Michigan State: 23-8 (11-5)
2. Iowa: 23-9 (11-5)
3. Ohio State: 25-5 (11-5)
4. Illinois: 26-7 (10-6)
5. Wisconsin: 20-10 (10-6)
6. Michigan: 20-9 (9-7)
7. Indiana: 16-13 (7-9)
8. Minnesota: 16-13 (6-10)
9. Penn State: 14-14 (6-10)
10. Northwestern: 11-17 (4-12)
11. Purdue: 9-19 (3-13)

Big 12
1. Texas: 28-5 (14-2)
2. Kansas: 24-7 (13-3)
3. Oklahoma: 21-8 (11-5)
4. Colorado: 20-9 (9-7)
5. Nebraska: 20-11 (9-7)
6. Texas A&M: 19-10 (8-8)
7. Texas Tech: 17-15 (8-8)
8. Iowa State: 17-13 (7-9)
9. Oklahoma State: 16-15 (6-10)
10. Kansas State: 14-14 (5-11)
11. Missouri: 11-17 (4-12)
12. Baylor: 2-15 (2-14)

Pac-10
1. California: 20-9 (13-5)
2. UCLA: 26-7 (13-5)
3. Washington: 24-7 (12-6)
4. Arizona: 21-11 (12-6)
5. Stanford: 15-13 (11-7)
6. USC: 17-12 (9-9)
7. Oregon: 12-19 (6-12)
8. Arizona State: 11-17 (5-13)
9. Oregon State: 13-18 (5-13)
10. Washington State: 11-17 (4-14)

SEC
East
1. Tennessee: 24-6 (13-3)
2. Florida: 26-6 (11-5)
3. Kentucky: 19-13 (8-8)
4. South Carolina: 17-13 (8-8)
5. Vanderbilt: 16-13 (6-10)
6. Georgia: 15-15 (5-11)

West
1. LSU: 24-7 (14-2)
2. Alabama: 19-11 (11-5)
3. Arkansas: 21-10 (9-7)
4. Ole Miss: 15-15 (5-11)
5. Mississippi State: 14-16 (4-12)
6. Auburn: 10-18 (2-14)

Missouri Valley Conference
1. Wichita State: 23-8 (14-4)
2. Northern Iowa: 24-7 (13-5)
3. Creighton: 19-9 (12-6)
4. Missouri State: 23-7 (12-6)
5. Southern Illinois: 18-11 (11-7)
6. Bradley: 18-11 (10-8)
7. Drake: 11-19 (5-13)
8. Indiana State: 13-15 (5-13)
9. Illinois State: 8-19 (4-14)
10. Evansville: 8-20 (4-14)

Others
Conference-USA
1. Memphis: 31-2 (14-0)
2. UTEP: 19-8 (12-2)
3. UAB: 22-7 (11-3)
4. Houston: 19-9 (9-5)

Colonial Athletic Association
1. George Mason: 26-5 (16-2)
2. UNC-Wilmington: 22-9 (14-4)
3. Hofstra: 23-7 (13-5)
4. Old Dominion: 22-9 (13-5)
5. Northeastern: 17-11 (12-6)
6. Virginia Commonwealth: 20-9 (12-6)

Mountain West
1. San Diego State: 22-8 (13-3)
2. Air Force: 24-6 (12-4) 3. BYU: 20-8 (12-4)

WAC

1. Nevada: 26-5 (13-3) 2. Louisiana Tech: 20-11 (12-4) 3. Utah State: 22-8 (11-5)

WCC
Gonzaga: 28-3 (14-0)

Patriot
Bucknell: 25-4 (14-0)

Atlantic-10
1. George Washington: 29-1 (16-0)
2. Charlotte: 21-11 (12-4)
3. La Salle: 20-9 (11-5)
4. Saint Louis: 16-13 (10-6)
5. Temple: 19-12 (10-6)
6. Xavier: 20-9 (10-6)