Thursday, February 12, 2009

Bubble Watch


Bubble Breakdown and Comparison

Welcome to the first complete Bubble Watch of the season. As the name would suggest, it will look at every team in the at-large mix hoping to grab one of the last spots for the NCAA Tournament. As the season enters its final couple of weeks, it is time for teams on the fence to distinguish themselves from each other with impressive stretch runs. This week has seen plenty of bubble teams help out their resumes with statement-making wins, while other teams have hurt their status with tough losses. However, with the constant bubble fluctuation on a nightly basis, many teams are failing to separate themselves from the pack, meaning we might be in store for another difficult Selection Sunday for the Committee. Of course there is still plenty of basketball left to be played. According to the numbers, there are 13 bids still up for grabs, with 30 teams seriously vying for them:

Locks: 20
Automatic bids from the other conferences: 22
42 Locks Overall

ACC (4): North Carolina, Clemson, Duke, Wake Forest
Big East (5): Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova
Big Ten (4): Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue, Minnesota
Big 12 (3): Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri

Pac-10 (2): UCLA, Washington
SEC (0):
Atlantic-10 (1): Xavier
Mountain West (0):
West Coast (1): Gonzaga

One-Bid Conferences (22): America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Colonial, Conference USA, Horizon, Ivy, MAC, MAAC, MEAC, Missouri Valley, Northeast, Ohio Valley, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WAC

Teams that need to keep winning to avoid the bubble – these bids are not up for grabs yet (10): Florida State, Syracuse, West Virginia, Ohio State, Texas, Arizona State, California, Florida, Tennessee, Dayton

Note: Teams like Utah State, Davidson and Siena are not included, as they are the current leaders in their respective conferences


  1. Please fix your bubble watch. Michigan DID NOT lose to Oakland.

  2. I have no idea why that is there...Oakland didn't beat anyone good this year besides like, Wisconsin-Green Bay and North Dakota State.

  3. Temple played 13 of their first 16 games away from home and have a top 40 RPI. They are much closer to a bid then St. Joe's.