Let's look at the landscape conference-by-conference (for the bubble, it includes all teams that have even an outside shot at a bid, just not to leave anyone out; the complete Bubble Watch won't have all these teams):
ACC
Locks: Duke, North Carolina, Wake Forest, Clemson
Looking Good: Florida State
Work Left to Do: Boston College, Virginia Tech, Miami (Fl.), Maryland
Work Left to Do: Boston College, Virginia Tech, Miami (Fl.), Maryland
Big East
Locks: Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Marquette
Looking Good: Syracuse, West Virginia, Villanova
Work Left to Do: Georgetown, Notre Dame, Providence, Cincinnati
Work Left to Do: Georgetown, Notre Dame, Providence, Cincinnati
Big Ten
Locks: Michigan State
Looking Good: Illinois, Minnesota, Purdue, Ohio State
Looking Good: Illinois, Minnesota, Purdue, Ohio State
Work Left to Do: Penn State, Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin
Big 12
Locks: Oklahoma
Looking Good: Texas, Kansas, Missouri
Work Left to Do: Baylor, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
Pac-10
Locks: NONE
Looking Good: Washington, UCLA, Arizona State
Work Left to Do: California, USC, Arizona, Washington State, Stanford
SEC
Locks: NONE
Looking Good: NONE
Work Left to Do: Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina, LSU, Kentucky, Mississippi State
Atlantic-10
Locks: Xavier
Work Left to Do: Dayton, Saint Joseph’s, Temple
Conference-USA
Locks: Memphis
Work Left to Do: UAB, Tulsa
Conference-USA
Locks: Memphis
Work Left to Do: UAB, Tulsa
Mountain West
Locks: NONE
Work Left to Do: UNLV, Utah, BYU, San Diego State
West Coast
West Coast
Locks: Gonzaga
Work Left to Do: Saint Mary’s
Horizon
Locks: Butler
Work Left to Do: NONE
MAAC
Locks: NONE
Work Left to Do: Siena
Missouri Valley
Locks: NONE
Work Left to Do: Siena
Missouri Valley
Locks: NONE
Work Left to Do: Northern Iowa, Illinois State
Southern
Locks: NONE
Locks: NONE
Looking Good: Davidson
WAC
Locks: NONE
Work Left to Do: Utah State
One-Bid Conferences
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Colonial, Ivy, Mid-American, MEAC, Northeast, Ohio Valley, Patriot, SWAC, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt
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