Monday, March 13, 2006

Bracket Projection Accuracy

As a result of the questionable job that the Selection Committee did with this year's bracket, not many bracketologists had an overly successful Selection Sunday. After the committee selected the teams, I looked back at the bracket predictions by yours truly and many other "bracketologists". Here is the breakdown; choose for yourself as to who was the most accurate:

March Madness All Season (Me): 62/65 teams correct, 31 seeded exactly, 50 teams within one seed line

Joe Lunardi (ESPN): 63/65 teams correct, 29 seeded exactly, 49 teams within one seed line

Stewart Mandel (CNN/SI): 62/65 teams correct, 23 seeded exactly, 48 teams within one seed line

Gregg Doyel (CBS Sportsline): 63/65 teams correct, 28 seeded exactly, 48 teams within one seed line

Michael Lazarus (FoxSports): 62/65 teams correct, 28 seeded exactly, 51 teams within one seed line

Jerry Palm (CollegeRPI.com): 61/65 teams correct, 26 seeded exactly, 42 teams within one seed line

Michael Moran (USA Today): 61/65 teams correct, 25 seeded exactly, 43 teams within one seed line

Bracketology 101: 62/65 teams correct, 29 seeded exactly, 50 teams within one seed line

Bracketography.com: 62/65 teams correct, 31 seeded exactly, 47 teams within one seed line

The Bracket Board: 62/65 teams correct, 25 seeded exactly, 49 teams within one seed line

BubbleTeams.com: 62/65 teams correct, 28 seeded exactly, 51 teams within one seed line

Bracket Express: 62/65 teams correct, 23 seeded exactly, 45 teams within one seed line

For more information on these and other bracket projections, and links to the projected brackets, check out "Bracket Comparisons" over at BubbleTeams.com.

10 comments:

  1. Lunardi got his 63rd team by putting in Seton Hall about an hour before the selection show.

    inside information? he's a bum.

    you're better

    ReplyDelete
  2. I think he put George Mason in right before the show, but the principle is the same.

    He had GMU as the fifth team out heading into Selection Sunday, and then he had a change of heart and decided to jump them up seven spots?

    If he had inside information, it's unfair. But, hey, I did better than him in the actual seeding, so that's good enough.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Joe Lunardi is one of the best bracket anaylists there is. He got 63/65 teams right and i think you should look toward him and Greg Doyel for anaylism and predictions.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Who do you fellas got in the final four and in the champion seat?

    ReplyDelete
  5. All the top bracketologists did a fine job. You’ve got to give Mr. Lunardi credit if he slid in a team before time expired… You don’t get inside information unless you’re in or close to earshot of the door. Though the selection committee made some mistakes, I highly doubt there was a late-inclusion leak.… Congratulations though on your 31-29 win in picking exact seeds.

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    Also, how is everyone's bracket doing? If you use the typical one point for each first round win and two points for each second-round victory, I would have 44 points. Not bad, but not good by any means. How is everyone else's doing?

    ReplyDelete